Aurora forecast: Maine and other U.S. states may see the northern lights on October 2 as CME hits Earth

Geomagnetic storms make auroras expand southward, and northern U.S. states could benefit.
Sky-watchers were treated to a stunning display of the northern lights in May 2024. (Representative Cover Image Source: NASA Earth Observatory)
Sky-watchers were treated to a stunning display of the northern lights in May 2024. (Representative Cover Image Source: NASA Earth Observatory)

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has predicted the occurrence of auroras in the northern U.S. on October 2, 2026. Auroras are set to become prominent on Friday due to the arrival of a coronal mass ejection (CME) from the Sun, as per NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). The CME, which originated on September 28, is likely to create inclement space weather in the form of a minor geomagnetic storm due to it glancing Earth's magnetosphere. SWPC's alert, besides hinting at aurora formation, also warns of some minor power grid fluctuations and disturbances to satellite operations.

The process that creates inflows begins with a solar eruption known as coronal mass ejection (CMEs) (Image Source: NASA)
The process that creates inflows begins with a solar eruption known as a coronal mass ejection (CMEs) (Representative Image Source: NASA)

When will the aurora be most prominent?

The SWPC data shows that the peak of the geomagnetic activity based on the planetary K-index is set to occur between 10 am CDT and 1 pm CDT on October 2. While during this period the mainland U.S. will be awash with daylight, prominent auroras are likely to be visible at night, with the best viewing hours generally being around midnight. Models of solar winds by the SWPC show increased levels of incoming solar plasma throughout Friday, which should be the cue for skywatching enthusiasts to prepare for breathtaking views.

SWPC models of solar wind show a CME about to hit Earth (shown by green dot). (Representative Image Source: NOAA)
SWPC models of solar wind show a CME about to hit Earth (shown by green dot). (Representative Image Source: NOAA)

Where in the U.S. will auroras be visible?

The alert issued by the SWPC names states like Michigan and Maine as the ones where the auroras will likely be seen. Because of the geomagnetic storming and increased K-index, auroras usually extend further south than usual. If that is indeed the case, residents of many more northern U.S. states could get the chance to view auroras.

An image of a person enjoying the Northern lights over a geothermal hot spring area, Hverarond, Iceland (Representative Image Source: Getty | Arctic-Images)
Relatively faint Northern lights over a geothermal hot spring area, Hverarond, Iceland (Representative Image Source: Getty | Arctic-Images)

Aurora viewing tips

As a rule of thumb, a high vantage point around dark sky sites with low light pollution offer the best viewing experience when it comes to auroras. If there is nothing obstructing your view of the northern horizon, it is even possible to see auroras that are 600 miles further north. Although a geomagnetic storm makes auroras more intense, the SWPC has said that one could be able to view auroras even when space weather conditions do not rise to the level of a storm. Further, with the September equinox having passed recently on September 22, auroras are likely to be prominent around this time due to the Russell-McPherron effect. This effect causes auroras to become more pronounced around the equinoxes, with independent research showing March and October as having the highest number of days with visible auroras.

People visit St Mary's lighthouse in Whitley Bay to see the aurora borealis, commonly known as the northern lights, on May 10, 2024, in Whitley Bay, England (Image Source: Getty | Ian Forsyth)
People visit St Mary's lighthouse in Whitley Bay to see the aurora borealis, commonly known as the northern lights, on May 10, 2024, in Whitley Bay, England (Representative Image Source: Getty | Ian Forsyth)

How to photograph auroras with a mobile phone

While phones only feature a tiny sensor when compared to dedicated cameras, they can still be used for aurora photography as long as a few settings are adjusted. The most important bit is to keep the phone as stable as possible because capturing auroras needs longer exposures. One can employ a tripod, or simply prop the device against a rock. Depending on your device, the sweet spot for the ISO lies somewhere between 800 and 1600. This is a measure of your phone camera's sensitivity and must not be raised too much, as it makes images grainy or 'noisy'. One must also keep the camera zoomed out to allow for a wide shot and for more light to be let into the camera.

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