Physicists predict dark matter will doom the Universe to a catastrophic 'Big Crunch' soon

This model predicts that the universe will reach its maximum size in approximately 11 billion years, then rapidly start contracting.
PUBLISHED OCT 10, 2025
Colorful particles exploding from the center, creating a vibrant and dynamic visual effect (Representative Cover Image Source: Getty | Eugene Mymrin)
Colorful particles exploding from the center, creating a vibrant and dynamic visual effect (Representative Cover Image Source: Getty | Eugene Mymrin)

A groundbreaking calculation leveraging recent data from Dark Energy Survey (DES) and Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) observatories suggests the universe is not destined for perpetual expansion but is instead on a collision course with a catastrophic "Big Crunch," according to Cornell University

Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) (Image Source: DESI)
Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) (Image Source: DESI)

The research, led by Cornell physicist Henry Tye, posits that a recently determined negative value for the cosmological constant, a factor first introduced by Albert Einstein, will cause the universe to reach its maximum expansion size in about 11 billion years before contracting rapidly. “For the last 20 years, people believed that the cosmological constant is positive, and the universe will expand forever,” Tye stated. “The new data seem to indicate that the cosmological constant is negative, and that the universe will end in a big crunch.”

An extraordinary outburst produced by a black hole in a nearby galaxy has provided direct evidence for a population of old, volatile stellar black holes (Image Source: NASA)
An extraordinary outburst produced by a black hole in a nearby galaxy has provided direct evidence for a population of old, volatile stellar black holes (Representative Image Source: NASA)

Tye’s model predicts that this collapse, which defines the universe’s endpoint, will occur in approximately 20 billion years, marking the conclusion of its roughly 33-billion-year total lifespan. The findings, published September 18 in the Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics, rely on fresh observations that indicate dark energy, the mysterious force comprising 68% of the universe’s mass and energy, is not solely defined by a pure cosmological constant. The data hints at an additional factor, which Tye and his collaborators model as a low-mass hypothetical particle that behaved like the constant early on but has since evolved.

Image extracted from the Euclid Flagship simulations catalogue. Each dot represents a galaxy: blue points mark galaxies at the centers of dark matter clumps, while red points denote satellites within them (Image Source: Euclid Consortium | Jorge Carretero & Pau Tallada)
Image extracted from the Euclid Flagship simulations catalogue. Each dot represents a galaxy: blue points mark galaxies at the centers of dark matter clumps, while red points denote satellites within them (Representative Image Source: Euclid Consortium | Jorge Carretero & Pau Tallada)

This revised model, which neatly fits the concordant data from both the Southern and Northern Hemisphere observatories, ultimately pushes the underlying cosmological constant into the negative. While the concept of a "Big Crunch" resulting from a negative cosmological constant is not new, Tye’s work provides a concrete timeline. "The model tells you when the universe collapses and how it collapses," he explained.

Around 13.8 billion years ago, the universe expanded faster than the speed of light for a fraction of a second, a period called cosmic inflation (Image Source: NASA)
Around 13.8 billion years ago, the universe expanded faster than the speed of light for a fraction of a second, a period called cosmic inflation (Image Source: NASA)

The dramatic shift in cosmic destiny hinges on a revised understanding of the cosmological constant, designated by the Greek letter λ (lambda), as per Universe Space Tech. This value quantifies the influence of dark energy. Historically, a positive λ was assumed, suggesting dark energy acts as a repulsive force, continually pushing the universe outward and accelerating its expansion.

To reconcile this negative constant with the expansion we observe today, the model introduces an ultralight axion field, a concept involving hypothetical particles. These axions are proposed to have provided an initial, powerful outward push early in the universe's life, and they currently dominate, causing space to expand at an accelerating rate. Crucially, the influence of these axions is fading. In about 11 billion years, the relentless, inward pull of the negative cosmological constant will overcome the axion field’s outward momentum. At that point, the universe will reach its maximum extent, roughly 1.7 times its current size, stop expanding, and commence its rapid descent toward the Big Crunch. 

Simulated Dark Matter in the Milky Way Halo (Image Source: NASA)
Simulated Dark Matter in the Milky Way Halo (Image Source: NASA)

As DESI continues its observations, scientists from institutions including the European Euclid space telescope and NASA’s SPHEREx mission will gather more accurate data on galaxy distances to further refine these predictions, bringing cosmologists closer to quantifying both the beginning and the ultimate end of our universe, per Cornell University

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